Intra Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point ME to Stonington ME Marine Forecast
| Today...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt Late This Morning And Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. Wave Detail: Nw 2 Ft At 3 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 9 Seconds. Moderate Freezing Spray. |
| Tonight...Nw Winds 5 To 10 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Becoming N After Midnight. Seas 1 Foot Or Less. Wave Detail: Nw 1 Foot At 3 Seconds And S 1 Foot At 9 Seconds. Light Freezing Spray. A Chance Of Snow After Midnight. |
| Sun...Ne Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt, Becoming E 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 35 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 4 Ft, Building To 4 To 6 Ft In The Afternoon. Wave Detail: Ne 2 Ft At 3 Seconds And S 1 Foot At 8 Seconds, Becoming E 4 Ft At 4 Seconds. Snow. Moderate Freezing Spray. Freezing Rain In The Afternoon. Vsby 1 Nm Or Less. |
| Sun Night...E Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 40 Kt, Becoming W 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt After Midnight. Seas 5 To 8 Ft. Wave Detail: S 7 Ft At 11 Seconds And Se 5 Ft At 8 Seconds. Rain, Sleet And Freezing Rain In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Rain, Snow And Freezing Rain After Midnight. Vsby 1 Nm Or Less In The Evening. |
| Mon...W Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 45 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: S 7 Ft At 12 Seconds And W 2 Ft At 4 Seconds. Moderate Freezing Spray. |
| Mon Night...W Winds 25 To 30 Kt With Gusts Up To 45 Kt. Seas 5 To 7 Ft. Wave Detail: S 6 Ft At 12 Seconds And W 3 Ft At 4 Seconds. Moderate Freezing Spray In The Evening. |
| Tue...W Winds 25 To 30 Kt, Diminishing To 20 To 25 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 4 To 6 Ft. |
| Tue Night...Nw Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Diminishing To 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Seas 2 To 4 Ft. |
| Wed...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Wed Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Seas Around 2 Ft In The Evening, Then 1 Foot Or Less. |
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 658am EST Sat Feb 15 2025 Synopsis High pressure builds overhead today. Intensifying low pressure approaches Saturday night, crosses the region Sunday, then exits across the Maritimes Sunday night. The low remains across the Maritimes Monday into Tuesday. High pressure builds toward the region Wednesday. Near Term - Through Tonight 6:58AMNo major changes with just some high clouds scattered about over the southern zones. Very cold temperatures this morning with chilly wind chills across the north. Made adjustments to the Marine Headlines noted below. Previous Discussion... 1035mb surface high pressure axis is over the state today with just a few high clouds this morning with what will be a chilly winter day. Starting out very chilly with breezy winds and wind chills in spots as low as -30F and a Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect. There is still some patchy blowing snow across the open areas of Aroostook County and Northern Penobscot County which may lead to brief visibility loss and drifting snow into the roads. Throughout the day the high pressure axis begins to drift SE of the area and weaken in response to the next storm system. Clouds will slowly increase from the SW later this afternoon thanks to the moisture advection turning on aloft. High temperatures top out in the 8-14F range across the North, 15-20F for the Central Highlands and 19-23F for the Bangor region to the Downeast Coast. Northwesterly winds this morning gusting 20-30mph will become gusts 15-25mph this afternoon. Tonight, temperatures quickly fall as the sun goes down with areas below zero across the north thanks to the fresh increased snowpack. Generally expecting -5F to 0F over the North, -2F to +5F across the Central Highlands and 7-13F for the Bangor region to the Downeast Coast east to Calais and Eastport. Thankfully, the winds relax tonight and go generally calm but gradually shift NE during the late overnight hours in response to the develop storm system to our southwest. Increasing clouds will continue and expecting the Bangor region and Downeast to be overcast by daybreak with mostly cloudy skies north. Based on the latest hi-res model guidance and global ensembles opted to back up the increasing POPs till after daybreak over the SW zones keeping much of the precipitation into the Short Term forecast timeframe. Short Term - Sunday Through Monday Night Snow will rapidly overspread the area Sunday in advance of a warm front lifting northward from low pressure in the Ohio River Valley. A secondary low develops in the Gulf of Maine later Sunday as a powerful negatively tilted upper trough propagates towards the area. The upper trough quickly closes off Sunday night as the surface low rapidly intensifies and tracks across Downeast Maine into New Brunswick Sunday night. The LFQ of a strong H3 jet will coincide with the upper trough. Lift indicated by omega fields and H7/H8 FGEN is quite strong later Sunday into Sunday night. This will likely support heavy snow with rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour in northern zones. Some instability aloft is noted. As a result, have upgraded the Winter Storm Watch to a Winter Storm Warning for northern zones with storm total accumulations up to 20 inches in the North s where the best lift and SLRs are expected. Further south, overall accumulations will be limited by a warm nose that will generate mixed precipitation and reduce SLRs. In addition, the dry slot will arrive fairly quickly. Low level cold air is expected to hold across the area until the dry slot arrives, so rain is not a big worry. In fact, sleet is the primary concern for much of the Bangor area and Downeast. We maintain snow totals near the 6-inch snow threshold for warnings as well as near the 1-inch threshold for sleet. As a result of the uncertainty, maintained the existing Winter Storm Watch for now. Heavier snow exits the area late Sunday night. Strong winds and blowing snow will be big concerns for Monday as the pressure gradient tightens and a 50-kt H9 jet moves over the area. As usual, Aroostook County and the Route 1 corridor will be the bigger threat area for blowing snow and travel impacts. Have maintained the Winter Storm Warning in these areas into midday Monday to account for the impact. Wind gusts to 40 mph can be expected for the entire area by Monday afternoon. Long Term - Tuesday Through Friday Strong northwest winds continue on Tuesday with blowing snow still affecting open agricultural areas in Aroostook County. In addition, wind chills Tuesday morning may necessitate a Cold Weather Advisory with readings as low as -30F in the North s. Wind chills will remain below zero across the area all of Tuesday into Tuesday night. Snow showers will slowly taper off Tuesday into Tuesday night as high pressure slowly builds and the low in the Maritimes finally moves east. The high brings subsidence and warming for Wednesday with highs returning to the mid-upper 20s. Gusty northwest winds remain Wednesday, but peak gusts should only reach 20 to 25 mph. The next chance for snow arrives later Thursday into Friday. Guidance currently varies from a complete miss to the south to a fairly impactful Noreaster for the entire forecast area. The 15/00Z ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) splits the difference with an impactful snow for the southern half of the forecast area. Have followed consensus/NBM guidance with a chance of snow for now. Marine NEAR TERM:On the Coastal Waters this mornings Gale Warning has been cancelled and replaced with a Small Craft Advisory as winds are now below 35kt. A Gale Watch has been hoisted for Sunam through Sunday Night with the next storm system. Previous Discussion... On the Coastal Waters...NW winds will quickly fall below Gales over the Coastal Waters this morning and SCA (Small Craft Advisory) wind gusts expected into the early afternoon. Winds go below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) through daybreak Sunday. Seas 5-7ft this morning subsiding to 3-4ft this afternoon then 1-2ft tonight. Winds will begin to shift NE overnight into early Sunday AM. Freezing spray will be moderate through midday then becoming light in the afternoon into the overnight. On the Intra-Coastal Waters...NW winds will fall below SCA conditions late morning and remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) through daybreak tomorrow. Winds will shift NE overnight tonight into early Sun AM. Seas this morning 2-4ft subsiding to 1-2ft this afternoon and then 1ft or less tonight. Freezing spray will be moderate through midday then becoming light in the afternoon into the overnight. Short Term: For Sunday, a gale will develop with NE winds shifting to southerly. Light freezing spray is expected. Later Sunday night, winds will become westerly and increase towards storm force during Monday into late Monday night. Gales continue Tuesday and finally diminish Tuesday night. Seas on Sunday night into early Monday will build towards 15 ft or more. Light freezing spray Saturday night into Sunday. Light to moderate freezing spray Monday into Monday night. NOAA Caribou ME Office - Watches - Warnings - Advisories ME...Cold Weather Advisory until 9am EST this morning for MEZ001>006-010. Winter Storm Warning from 9am Sunday to 1pm EST Monday for MEZ001>006-010. Winter Storm Warning from 7am Sunday to 4am EST Monday for MEZ011-031-032. Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through late Sunday night for MEZ015>017-029-030. Marine Small Craft Advisory until 1pm EST this afternoon for ANZ050>052. Freezing Spray Advisory until 1pm EST this afternoon for ANZ050>052. Gale Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for ANZ050>052. |
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