Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key Marine Forecast
| Tonight...Northeast Winds Near 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. West Of Cosgrove Shoal Light, Seas 5 To 7 Feet, Occasionally To 9 Feet, Subsiding To 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Nearshore Waters Rough. |
| Wednesday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet, Except 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet West Of Cosgrove Shoal Light. Nearshore Waters Choppy. |
| Wednesday Night...Northeast To East Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Nearshore Waters Choppy. |
| Thursday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet, Except 3 To 4 Feet West Of Cosgrove Shoal Light. Nearshore Waters Choppy. |
| Thursday Night...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet, Except 3 To 4 Feet West Of Cosgrove Shoal Light. Nearshore Waters Choppy. |
| Friday...Northeast Winds 15 To 20 Knots, Decreasing To Near 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet, Except 3 To 4 Feet West Of Cosgrove Shoal Light. Nearshore Waters Choppy, Becoming A Moderate Chop. |
| Friday Night...Northeast To East Winds Decreasing To 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Nearshore Waters Becoming A Light To Moderate Chop. |
| Saturday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. |
| Saturday Night...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light To Moderate Chop. |
| Sunday...East Winds Near 10 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light Chop. Isolated Showers. |
| Sunday Night...East To Southeast Winds Near 10 Knots. Seas 1 To 2 Feet. Nearshore Waters A Light Chop. Isolated Showers. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 339pm EST Tuesday Nov 11 2025 Issued at 415am EST Tuesday Nov 11 2025 Winds continue to howill across the Florida Keys this morning following yesterday's frontal passage. Strong northerly breezes prevail across our offshore observation stations along the Reef and show no sign of letting up soon. Meanwhile, GOES-19 Nighttime Microphysics imagery depicts mostly to partly cloudy skies streaming over the Keys with rows of shallow stratocumulus moving south in the lower levels and high cirrus flowing northeast. KBYX radar is completely free of precipitation, which is quite unsurprising considering the extremely dry airmass that was left in the cold front's wake. Temperatures across the island chain vary quite a bit depending on how close to mainland outflow any one location is. Temperatures in the mid 60s hold in the Lower Keys while the Upper Keys sees values in the upper 50s with the Middle Keys in between. Dewpoints are spread similarly with values in the mid 50s and mid 40s observed in the Lower and Upper Keys respectively. A surface high settling over the southeast US this morning will shift our strong breezes towards the northeast. This setup will favor wind drainage from mainland Florida fanning out into our area with prevailing wind speeds and temperatures continuing to fall up until sunrise. This new cool and dry air mass in place along with ample cloud cover will keep temperatures capped at or below 70 today. CIMSS MIMIC PW has values less than half an inch painted over our CWA. Combine that with a stark inversion observed just above 900 mb from yesterday evening's balloon sounding and you get a slam dunk for near nil rain chances. As the front continues to march out into the western north Atlantic, breezes will gradually slacken throughout today and tonight. Temperatures will stay in the 60s overnight leading into Wednesday. While this taste of dry season is certainly a change of pace, it will not last for too long. The surface ridge will stretch itself out into the Atlantic off the east coast of Florida in the second half of the week. Breezes in the Keys will slowly shift to the northeast to east as a result. Temperatures will also recover back to near 80 for the highs and lower 70s for the lows by the back half of the week. The dry portion of this airmass will last somewhat longer with rain chances kept near nil until our easterly breezes find a southerly component to let mid level tropical moisture back into the picture later this weekend. For now, enjoy the brief preview of dry season conditions while it lasts. NOAA Key West FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories FL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 5am EST Wednesday for GMZ031>035- 042>044-052>055-072>075. |
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