Chesapeake Bay from New Point Comfort to Little Creek VA Marine Forecast
| Through 7 Pm...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Waves 3 To 4 Ft. |
| Tonight...W Winds 20 To 25 Kt, Becoming Sw 15 To 20 Kt In The Late Evening And Early Morning, Then Increasing To 20 To 25 Kt Late. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Wed...Sw Winds 20 To 25 Kt With Gusts Up To 30 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Wed Night...W Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts Up To 25 Kt. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Thu...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt, Diminishing To 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves 2 To 3 Ft. |
| Thu Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Fri...Nw Winds 10 Kt. Waves 1 Foot. |
| Fri Night...W Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming N After Midnight. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Sat...N Winds 10 To 15 Kt With Gusts Up To 20 Kt, Becoming Nw 5 To 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Waves Around 2 Ft. |
| Sat Night...S Winds 10 To 15 Kt, Becoming Sw 15 To 20 Kt After Midnight. Waves 1 To 2 Ft. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 240pm EST Tuesday Nov 11 2025 Synopsis High pressure builds south of the area later this evening into Wednesday, before a dry cold front crosses the area Wednesday night into Thursday. High pressure builds back into the area Friday into the weekend. Another frontal system potentially crosses the area later Sunday into early next week. Near Term - Through Tonight As of 240pm EST Tuesday... Key Messages: - Dry, chilly, and breezy conditions this afternoon and overnight. High pressure at the surface has slid down toward the Gulf coast while the trough axis aloft has slid offshore. It's chilly and windy out there today under clear to mostly clear skies. Latest obs show temps in the mid 40s but with winds of 20-30mph, apparent temperatures are in the upper 30s. Not quite as cold tonight as last night, with lows in the mid 30s. Will see a brief increase in cloud cover overnight as a weaker shortwave passes through aloft, then clearing out early tomorrow morning. Still a little breezy overnight, but only ~10- 15mph. This will be enough, though, to knock wind chills down to the mid to upper 20s for most locations. Short Term - Wednesday Through Thursday Night As of 240pm EST Tuesday... Key Messages: - Temperatures moderate back closer to average on Wednesday. - A dry cold front crosses the area Wednesday night into early Thursday. High pressure, currently near the Gulf coast, will slide east and then build N Wednesday into Thurs. NW flow aloft will continue aloft as a trough sits offshore. Remaining dry and mostly sunny through this period. Temps will be closer to seasonal norms with highs in the upper 50s and low 60s on both Wednesday and Thurs. A brief period of cloud cover Wednesday night (dry frontal passage) will keep lows around 40 S of I-64 while little to no clouds and lighter winds will let temps drop to the mid 30s across the N. Winds finally diminish to light to calm Thurs night as the high slides overhead, allowing for good radiational cooling and lows in the low 30s inland, mid-upper 30s close to the coast. Long Term - Friday Through Tuesday As of 240pm EST Tuesday... Key Messages: - Dry weather and seasonable temperatures through Saturday - Another system may approach the area Sunday into early next week, bringing a low-end chance for rain. High confidence remains in northwesterly flow aloft through the end of the week into the weekend. At the surface, high pressure will remain parked over the SE CONUS. This will continue to support seasonable temperatures in the upper 50s and low 60s and dry weather Fri and Sun. Another frontal system approaches later Sunday into Monday, bringing our next chance for some light rain. Moisture appears fairly limited at this time with this system (00z EPS and GEFS each show less than 0.10") with not even enough confidence for mentionable PoPs. There will also be a decent warm up out ahead of this front on Sunday as southerly flow increases. Highs on Sunday will top out in the low 70s inland and upper 60s at the coast. Monday will have highs in the upper 50s and 60s. Marine As of 240pm EST Tuesday.. Key Messages: - Gale Warnings remain in effect through early this evening for the Atlantic waters N of Cape Charles Light with Small Craft Advisories in effect for all remaining waters. - Strong W/SW winds continue Wednesday into Thursday. Afternoon analysis shows strong low pressure over eastern Canada and 1030mb high pressure over the northern Gulf Coast. Winds locally are W 20-25 kt with gusts 30-35 kt in the Ches Bay and coastal waters. In the rivers and Currituck Sound winds are W 15-25 with gusts to 30 kt. Waves in the bay are 2-4 ft with seas 4-6 ft (highest well offshore). Gale Warnings in the bay and southern coastal waters will be replaced with SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) at 4PM. The northern coastal waters have Gale Warnings through 7PM with SCAs (Small Craft Advisories) certain thereafter as the pressure gradient remains very steep between the low in Canada and high pressure building in from the SW. Winds become SW tonight, remaining in the 20-25 kt range with gusts up to 30 kt. A passing disturbance well to the north will compress the gradient again on Wednesday with SW winds potentially gusting for a period 30-35 kt offshore. Local wind probs only show around a 30% chance for gales so no additional headlines expected. Waves in the bay will maintain 2-4 ft through early Thursday, diminishing to 1-3 ft thereafter. Offshore wind direction should keep near-shore seas quite a bit lower than conditions farther offshore, generally maintaining 4-6 ft through early Thursday. Benign marine conditions are expected Thursday into the first half of the weekend. SW flow strengthens ahead of the next system early Sunday with a front crossing the region early next week. Fire Weather As of 230am EST Tuesday... It will be dry and windy today, with min RH values of 25-35%. However, the cold temperatures (most areas at or below freezing to start the day), and rainfall amounts as high as 1-2" over the past 36 hrs in some areas, will mitigate the threat. Therefore, did not issue any SPS/Fire Danger Statements. NOAA Wakefield VA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. Marine Gale Warning until 4pm EST this afternoon for ANZ630>632-634- 656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 7am EST Wednesday for ANZ630>632- 634. Small Craft Advisory until 7am EST Wednesday for ANZ633- 635>638. Gale Warning until 7pm EST this evening for ANZ650-652-654. Small Craft Advisory until 7pm EST Wednesday for ANZ656-658. |
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